As thrilling as the amount within the first two rounds of the NCAA Match will be, the Candy 16 takes it to a different degree with high quality. Gone are the groups that have been blissful simply to make the Dance. Because the aggressive stability of the video games steps up, so too has our “Greatest Bets” record.
The next are our greatest Candy 16 bets for Thursday and Friday’s video games.
Candy 16 Greatest Bets: Thursday March twenty seventh
BYU (+180) vs. Alabama (-5.5), o/u 174.5
Time: 7:09 p.m. ET
Date: Thursday, March 27
Protection: CBS
Odds by way of BetMGM
With one of the crucial productive offenses within the recreation and one of many worst defenses, it has been onerous to not wager the over each time Alabama performs (over is 19-15-1). I do know what you’re pondering: 174.5 is such a excessive quantity for a school basketball recreation.
Alabama video games have had a complete of 174.4 or larger 9 instances this season; the over was 6-3 in these video games.
BYU averages round 81 factors per recreation this season (No. 25). Whereas its protection doesn’t rank as little as Alabama’s, it’s not spectacular both (No. 155, 71.4 ppg allowed). Each groups like to shoot threes.
Our decide: These guys are hitting the over on this recreation.
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Arizona (+315) vs. Duke (-8.5), o/u 153.5
Time: 9:39 p.m. ET
Date: Thursday, March 27
Protection: CBS
Odds by way of FanDuel
Choosing this recreation virtually seems like dishonest. Nothing towards Arizona; the Wildcats have had a strong season and have confirmed themselves to be a superb staff. They’ll put up some factors (No. 17, 82.2 ppg) and are beasts on the boards (No. 11 rebounds per recreation, 40.08).
However they only aren’t in the identical class as Duke.
Duke already beat the Wildcats earlier within the season, 69-55. Sure, Arizona has improved considerably since then, however so has Duke. When they’re wholesome, few groups can cling with the Blue Devils, and Arizona is just not one among them.
Our decide: Duke -8.5
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Candy 16 Greatest Bets: Friday, March twenty eighth
Michigan (+330) vs. Auburn (-8.5), o/u 152.5
Time: 9:39 p.m. ET
Date: Friday, March 28
Protection: CBS
Odds by way of DraftKings
The Wolverines have performed effectively up to now. They took care of UC San Diego (68-65) regardless that many analysts thought of them a chief upset candidate. Texas A&M was favored within the second spherical, however the Aggies couldn’t defend within the second half with out fouling.
Nevertheless it is not going to be practically as straightforward towards Auburn. The Tigers are one of many high rebounding groups within the nation, can push the tempo or hit from lengthy vary, and won’t foul practically as a lot as A&M did.
Michigan might preserve it shut within the first half, however I count on Auburn to guide by 10 on the break. The Wolverines wrestle from the three-point line, so as soon as the lead widens and they’re compelled to start out throwing up three-pointers, it is going to be recreation over.
Our decide: Auburn -8.5
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Purdue (+290) vs. Houston (-7.5), o/u 132.5
Time: 10:09 p.m. ET
Date: Friday, March 28
Protection: TBS/truTV
Odds by way of BetMGM
It might probably make for an attention-grabbing recreation when two groups with related types play one another. Each Purdue and Houston choose to let their defenses prepared the ground whereas scoring sufficient to win, usually leading to low-scoring video games.
This technique received Purdue previous Excessive Level within the first spherical and McNeese State within the second. Ditto for Houston, however with one vital distinction: the Cougars are so a lot better at it.
Houston has the No. 1 protection within the nation (58.4 factors per recreation allowed). It has held 19 of 34 opponents beneath that mark this season. On the offensive finish, the Cougars don’t do a lot (No. 152, 74.5 ppg), however since they permit a lot much less, it doesn’t matter what they rating.
The opposite staff will rating much less.
Our decide: Houston -7.5
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