Week 2 of the NFL season kicks off Thursday with a showdown of a pair of rivals that may very well be battling for the AFC East crown come December.
The Buffalo Payments and Miami Dolphins might have began the yr 1-0, however each groups wanted to dig out of early double-digit holes final Sunday (regardless of being dwelling favorites!) to make it occur.
Earlier than you fireplace up Prime Video for “Thursday Night time Soccer,” listed below are three betting picks we like essentially the most for Buffalo-Miami:
Buffalo stampede
The Payments are 11-1 towards the Dolphins since Dec. 30, 2018, with 10 regular-season victories and a wild-card spherical win two postseasons in the past. These numbers are paying homage to one other rivalry on this division, the New England Patriots’ full dominance of the New York Jets.
“That’s gonna be the narrative, that we are able to’t beat the Payments,” Tua Tagovailoa stated this week, “and till we do beat them and we beat them constantly, none of that’s gonna change.”
Miami enters as 2.5-point favorites, and if you happen to deploy the outdated rule of thumb that home-field benefit nets a group three factors within the unfold, these groups are mainly even.
However given the Payments’ full possession of this sequence, mixed with accidents to the Dolphins’ harmful one-two operating again combo of Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane (extra on them beneath), we’re siding with Buffalo till we see Tagovailoa and firm flip that narrative.
The decide: Payments moneyline, +120 (FanDuel)
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Go completely happy
Mostert has been dominated out of Thursday’s sport with a chest harm, whereas Achane (ankle) is taken into account a game-time choice after practising Wednesday.
There’s nonetheless pace throughout the sector for Miami, specifically with star receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, whose YAC skill gives the potential of inflating Tagovailoa’s passing totals.
Tagovailoa hasn’t thrown for 300 yards towards Buffalo since that 56-26 loss within the closing week of his rookie season. However no quarterback in Week 1 did higher than Tua’s 338 yards towards Jacksonville, a lot of which got here on the comeback path after the Jaguars moved forward early.
You’ll be able to simply see an analogous script unfold this week, the place Tagovailoa has to tug his group again with the passing sport. Of the alternate passing-yard targets we are able to select from, 275 appears like the correct mix of threat and reward.
The decide: Tua Tagovailoa 275+ passing yards, +110 (DraftKings)
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Rookie has candy debut
Get able to study the title Jaylen Wright. The Dolphins drafted the operating again within the fourth spherical out of Tennessee, and he didn’t swimsuit up in Week 1, however he stands to realize essentially the most from Mostert and probably Achane being sidelined.
Phrase out of Dolphins camp is that the group loves Wright, and he was an attractive sleeper decide in lots of a fantasy league. The Dolphins, just like the San Francisco 49ers, can plug seemingly any younger again into their exterior zone scheme and acquire first down after first down—did you watch Jordan Mason for the Niners on Monday?
That is the place searching for higher odds pays off. Illustrating the hype round Wright, Fanduel lists him at a mere +140 to attain a landing anytime—fairly brief odds for a child who’s by no means performed an NFL sport earlier than. DraftKings gives a extra respectable quantity for us to seize.
The decide: Jaylen Wright anytime TD scorer, +170 (DraftKings)
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